Middle East Business Jet Hubs Sharply Decline From March: Doha, Dubai International Major Airports Movements Notably Contract; January–February Resilience Did Not Persist

Avi-Go data shows Middle East major hubs January 1 – May 10, 2026 business jet movements broadly declined with highly consistent time cadence — January–February most airports maintained or even grew (OMDW Jan +16.3%, OLBA Jan +34.8%); March saw collective sharp pullback (OMDB and OTHH March movements crashed to very low levels). This aligns with KG-recorded Middle East geopolitical tension escalation and flight slot cancellation rate rise signal direction. OMDW had the largest absolute decline; Saudi dual hubs decline relatively moderate — showing Gulf core and periphery impact may have layering. Note: individual airports like OMDB March YoY decline over 90% are extreme — even in conflict context still need further verification; additionally, the insight-cited 'Iran war escalation' and 'crude potentially reaching $200/barrel' are scenario assumptions, cannot be independently verified from current industry knowledge whether actually occurred. Business jet vs. commercial flight decline magnitudes may differ by an order of magnitude, but overall consistency still warrants caution. Confidence ★★ (Avi-Go data direction referenceable; extreme values and scenario assumptions need further verification).