Heavy vs. Light Business Jet Divergence in the High Oil Price Era Is Not One-Sided — Heavy Segment Down 7.7% YoY in March but G700 Surges 52.2%, Light Segment Down 5.6% but Learjet 75 Plunges 26.1% Due to Accelerated Post-Production Retirement

In March 2026, the four heavy-jet types (G650/Global 7500/Falcon 8X/G700) totaled 4,839 movements (YoY -7.7%), while three light-jet types (Phenom 300/CJ3/Learjet 75) totaled 27,760 (-5.6%). The heavy-jet share dipped slightly from 15.1% to 14.8% (-0.3pp), but internal divergence was extreme: G700 (+52.2% to 443 movements) was the only growth type, while Falcon 8X saw the steepest decline (-16.3%). Among light jets, Learjet 75 plunged 26.1% (from 2,517 to 1,860), consistent with natural fleet attrition following Bombardier's production halt; Phenom 300, at 19,672 movements, accounted for 60.3% of all seven types combined — an unassailable dominant position. While the doubling of oil prices ($95 to $197/barrel) hits heavy jets harder on cost, G700's counter-trend growth indicates that new-delivery generational replacement forces outweigh the oil price suppression effect. Confidence: ★★ (AviGo seven-type data + KG oil price data corroboration).