Falcon 10X Waitlist Exceeds 3,300 but First Flight Not Yet Completed — July 2026 Delivery Timeline Presents a Serious Contradiction with Project Status, Brokers and Operators Should Be Alert to Delivery Delay Risk

The Dassault Falcon 10X completed its prototype rollout in Bordeaux on March 10, 2026, with a waitlist exceeding 3,300 customers, but as of late March had not achieved first flight nor entered FAA/EASA airworthiness certification. Yet KG data indicates the first aircraft is planned for delivery to a Brazilian customer in July 2026 — completing first flight, certification, and delivery within 4 months is nearly impossible unless Dassault has completed substantial undisclosed certification work behind the scenes. Meanwhile, competitor G700 has delivered 53 units (2025) and Global 8000 has received triple regulatory certification and been delivered to NetJets. Falcon 10X's differentiation selling point is its 78.7m³ largest-in-class cabin, but the time-window disadvantage is widening. Confidence: ★★ (KG multi-source information + public reporting, but delivery timeline contains internal contradiction requiring verification).