South Africa Business Jet Departures YoY +12.2% Leads Africa; Nigeria March Anomalous Crash 79% Then April Bounces Back

January–May 19, 2026, Africa six-country business jet departures combined 17,334 — YoY +6.8%. South Africa at 8,343 (+12.2%) firmly retains largest market position; Kenya (+11.0%) and Tanzania (+19.1%, small base) growth pace standout. But monthly volatility dramatic: January–February high growth (+26%/+39%); March due to Nigeria departures crashing from 1,148 to 241 (−79%) caused overall pullback −31.5%; April Nigeria rebound to 1,669 drove overall recovery +8.4%. Nigeria March anomaly may relate to local policy, security situation, or economic factors; its volatility constitutes structural risk for regional total. For Africa FBOs and charter operators: South Africa and East Africa are more stable growth anchors. Confidence ★★ (Avi-Go data complete, but Nigeria March anomaly cause lacks news cross-verification).